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Australia Vs India 4th Test Match Betting Preview

Cricket IPL Betting Tips

The Border-Gavaskar trophy 2020/21 continues to thrill everyone watching it, with another high-quality test match that eventually ended in an entertaining draw, ensuring we are now set for a grand finale. Both Australia and India have won one match each as the series hangs on a knife’s edge, with the 4th Test match crucial in deciding where the famous trophy will go.

The third test will be held at the Gabba, Brisbane. Will team India be able to avoid defeat and retain the trophy? Or will the Aussies make a much-needed comeback win the famous trophy on home turf after a long break? Let’s take a look at this test match from a betting perspective, with odds exclusively provided by LeoVegas India.

Our Top Betting Picks

  • The match to end in a draw @4.50
  • India to have the Highest Opening Partnership @2.08
  • Cummins to be Australia’s top bowler in the first innings @3.25
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Why should I bet on this match to end in a draw @4.50 ?

Though India were thrashed brutally by the Aussie seamers in particular in the first test, they dominated their way to a memorable win in the second test to tie the series 1-1, even without their skipper Virat Kohli. In the 3rd test, the Indian batsmen put up a valiant fight in their second innings to withstand the Aussie pace attack and secure a memorable draw from the jaws of defeat. We expect them to do that again, with their batting line-up looking as solid as ever.   

Why should I bet on Cummins to be Australia’s top bowler in the first innings @3.25?

Pat Cummins and Josh Hazelwood ripped through the Indian batting line up in the second innings of the first match. Cummins in particular completely rattled the entire top order, including the prized wicket of Virat Kohli, taking 7 wickets in the match, and is our favourite to be the top bowler for the home side again. He is the current leading wicket-taker in this series, and is the favourite to end the series as the top wicket-taker again. 

History

Before the trophy was renamed, India and Australia had faced each other in 50 test matches, with Australia winning 24 of those matches and India winning only 8, with 18 matches being drawn. The series was then renamed and the first Border-Gavaskar trophy was played in October 1996, with India winning the sole test match. India went on to have a better head-to-head record once the trophy was renamed, with 21 wins in 50 tests, with Australia winning 19 tests and the rest 10 being draws. 

In the first match of this series, the home side comfortably won by 8 wickets as they were set a meagre target of 91, after India were bundled out for just 36 runs in their second innings, their lowest ever score in test cricket. The Aussie pacers were on fire as Hazelwood and Cummins shared 9 wickets between them for a memorable victory eventually. 

In the second match of this series, India bounced back brilliantly under the leadership of their stand-in skipper Ajinkya Rahane, who struck a brilliant century to ensure India had a commanding first innings lead, before their bowlers rattled the Aussie line-up for a comfortable win in the end. 

In the 3rd match of the series, Australia started brillianly, with debutant Pucovski smacking a gritty half-century, before the dynamic duo of Labuschane and Smith took charge and took the home side to a respectable 338. India, in reply, were bundled out for 244, with an inspired performance from Pat Cummins again. Smith and Labuschane were at it again in the 2nd innings, with Australia posting 312 before declaring, setting India a highly improbable target of 406 to win. 

In one of the grittiest batting performances by team India in recent times, they posted a respectable score of 334 in their second innings before the match was declared as a draw. The openers started well before a brilliant partnership between Pujara and Pant. The way Rishabh Pant was smacking the famed Aussie pace attack, it seemed like India might even go for a legendary win, instead of a respectable draw. However, 3 quick wickets later it was down to an already injured due of Vihari and Ashwin, who stood firm for almost 300 balls in very tough conditions, to secure a famous draw for India, keeping their hopes alive of retaining the trophy. 

Team News

Australia have a fully fit squad for this match The batting will again be held together by the brilliant duo of Smith and Labuschane, while Lyon, Starc and Cummins will be the key men again with the pink ball. 

So far in this series, only Marnus Labuschane has been able to stand his ground with consistent knocks, while Steve Smith finally got his rhythm back in the previous match. Pucovski would like to build on his impressive debut. Cummins and Hazerlwood have been among the wickets and will hope to continue that. 

Ajinkya Rahane led the team brilliantly in the second test as he scored a century to ensure India claims a memorable win. Virat Kohli has gone back to India on compassionate leave while KL Rahul will be a huge miss as he has been ruled out of the series due to a sprained wrist. There are many more injury troubles for team India however, with Ravindra Jadeja, Hanuma Vihari and even Jasprit Bumrah joining the injured list. The squad is really stretched and that could mean a return for Mayank Agarwal and rare chances offered to the likes of Washington Sundar and Shardul Thakur with the ball. 

Betting Preview, Picks And Prediction

To Win The Match 

Australia are heavy favourites to win this match, despite being winless in the previous 2 matches. The odds for them to win this one are 1.44. This is primarily because of India’s depleted squad, with several injuries, none more so than their bowling spearhead Jasprit Bumrah, making it extremely unlikely that they’ll get something out of this game. Odds of India to win this one are 7.00, while odds of a draw are 4.50. 

Top Team Batsman In The First Innings

With Kohli missing, the onus to handle the batting order falls on Ajinkya Rahane now, and after his century in the second match, he is 4.00 to be the top Indian batsman in the first innings. Pujara is the new favourite with the bat at 3.33. He is followed by the openers Gill (4.50) and Rohit Sharma (5.00) 

Steve Smith is still the obvious favourite to be Australia’s top batsman at 3.25, with a brilliant performance in the previous match. He is followed by the ever consistent Labuschane at 3.75 and the returning David Warner at 4.50. 

Highest Opening Partnership In The First Innings

With Indian likely to include Rohit Sharma as an opener, the odds for them having the highest opening partnership are 2.08, considering the good form of his potential partner Shubhman Gill. Australia have a solid opening pair as well, with Pucovski and Warner, and are 1.72 favourites to have the highest opening partnership.  

Top Team Bowler 

Pat Cummins is again the favourite to be the top bowler at 3.25, with his searing deliveries expected to make Indian batters tremble just like in the 3 tests. Josh Hazelwood really troubled the Indian batsmen in the previous series and took 5 wickets in the second innings of the first match, and he is at 3.50 to be the top bowler, as is Mitchell Starc. Lyon is 4.50 to be the top bowler. 

India’s bowling attack is considerably weak on paper due to injuries, and now with Bumrah gone, the favourite to be the top bowler is now Ravi Ashwin at 3.50, followed by young pacers Saini and Siraj at 4.50 each. 

Individual Player Betting

  • Rahane to score more than 70.5 runs over both innings has odds of 1.83, which is a tempting bet as he would like to continue his current form and build on his impressive century in the second match highlighting his consistency. David Warner to score more than 38.5 runs in the first innings has odds of 1.83, which is again a very tempting bet as he would love to come back with a bang.   
  • Pat Cummins to take 5 or more wickets has odds of 2.25, which is very attractive as he averages more than that in Test cricket and is Australia’s top wicket taker in this series so far. Ashwin to take 5 or more wickets has odds of 1.93, which is attractive as well as he is the most senior bowler in the team now.   

Our Top Betting Picks

  • The match to end in a draw @4.50
  • India to have the Highest Opening Partnership @2.08
  • Cummins to be Australia’s top bowler in the first innings @3.25
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Dream 11 Preview

Our Dream XI team for this match is fairly top heavy, with 1 wicket-keeper, 6 batsmen, 1 all-rounder and 3 bowlers. 

Wicket Keeper – Rishabh Pant

Rishabh Pant really took the game to the Aussies with a brilliantly struck 97 in the previous match, making millions of Indian fans believer they could have actually won that game instead of saving it. We expect him to fire again. 

Batsmen 

From Australia, we have picked both Smith and Labuschane (C), their two highest scorers in test cricket over the last 2 seasons, as well as in the previous match. From India we have chosen Rahane, Pujara and Rohit, the 3 senior batsmen in the line-up.  

All-Rounders 

We have selected Ravi Ashwin as our sole all-rounder as he was India’s best bowler in the first test, picking up 4 wickets in the first innings. He can be handy with the bat as well, as displayed by his gritty match-saving knock in the previous match. 

Bowling 

Pat Cummins, Josh Hazelwood and Mitchell Starc all our included in our all-Australia bowling attack, as we expect this pace battery to rattle the Indian batsmen over the next 5 days. 


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Akshay Malhotra

28 year old former professional cricketer at youth levels with a burning passion for sports. Experienced football writer with over 8 years of experience.